Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 17?
21°C 34%
20°C 23%
22°C 22%
19°C 16%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
23%
21°C
34%
22°C
22%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 34%
20°C 23%
22°C 22%
19°C 16%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
23%
21°C
34%
22°C
22%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for a 21°C high in Ankara on April 17, reflecting the latest numerical weather prediction model runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international ensembles like ECMWF, which project daytime maxima around 20-22°C amid a post-cold snap recovery. Early April's unseasonal snow on April 11 and highs limited to 9-15°C gave way to an 11°C rebound on April 15, signaling a high-pressure ridge ushering milder spring conditions aligned with mid-month climatological norms of 17-19°C but slightly warmer due to southerly flows. Uncertainty persists in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, with MGM's next hourly update expected midday April 16 potentially refining these odds before resolution via official Esenboğa Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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