Persistent upper-level ridging and a strengthening heat dome over Central Texas are driving the market's emphasis on 98–101°F highs for August 5, with local NWS and KXAN guidance centering near 99–100°F amid mostly sunny skies and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This setup promotes strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs reach 96–98°F but recent ridge persistence has pushed readings into the upper 90s to low 100s. Slight model consensus on gradual cooling later in the week and low thunderstorm chances support the leading 98–99°F bin (45.5%) over higher outcomes, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift probabilities within the 96–101°F range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 5. August?
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 26%
102-103°F 4%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
89°F oder niedriger
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
46%
100-101°F
26%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
2%
98-99°F 46%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 26%
102-103°F 4%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
89°F oder niedriger
$196 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$192 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$174 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$29 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$72 Vol.
28%
98-99°F
$235 Vol.
46%
100-101°F
$141 Vol.
26%
102-103°F
$66 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$22 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$64 Vol.
<1%
108°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging and a strengthening heat dome over Central Texas are driving the market's emphasis on 98–101°F highs for August 5, with local NWS and KXAN guidance centering near 99–100°F amid mostly sunny skies and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This setup promotes strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs reach 96–98°F but recent ridge persistence has pushed readings into the upper 90s to low 100s. Slight model consensus on gradual cooling later in the week and low thunderstorm chances support the leading 98–99°F bin (45.5%) over higher outcomes, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift probabilities within the 96–101°F range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$1,191Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging and a strengthening heat dome over Central Texas are driving the market's emphasis on 98–101°F highs for August 5, with local NWS and KXAN guidance centering near 99–100°F amid mostly sunny skies and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This setup promotes strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs reach 96–98°F but recent ridge persistence has pushed readings into the upper 90s to low 100s. Slight model consensus on gradual cooling later in the week and low thunderstorm chances support the leading 98–99°F bin (45.5%) over higher outcomes, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift probabilities within the 96–101°F range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,191Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level ridging and a strengthening heat dome over Central Texas are driving the market's emphasis on 98–101°F highs for August 5, with local NWS and KXAN guidance centering near 99–100°F amid mostly sunny skies and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This setup promotes strong daytime solar heating and limited mixing, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs reach 96–98°F but recent ridge persistence has pushed readings into the upper 90s to low 100s. Slight model consensus on gradual cooling later in the week and low thunderstorm chances support the leading 98–99°F bin (45.5%) over higher outcomes, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift probabilities within the 96–101°F range before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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