Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a high of 28°C in Chongqing on April 17 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with light southwest winds below 3 m/s, promoting daytime heating in the city's basin topography that traps warmth. However, closely matched market-implied probabilities—26°C at 38.5% and 27°C at 29.5%—reflect trader caution from recent days' cooler-than-expected airport readings at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, averaging mid-20s°C amid variable cloud cover, and slight divergences in global models like ECMWF versus domestic GRAPES. Urban heat island effects and peak afternoon insolation remain key differentiators, with final resolution hinging on official airport observations; expect updates from CMA hourly bulletins through tomorrow afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 17?
26°C 35%
27°C 28%
28°C 12%
25°C 11%
$11,589 Vol.
$11,589 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
35%
27°C
28%
28°C
12%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 35%
27°C 28%
28°C 12%
25°C 11%
$11,589 Vol.
$11,589 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
35%
27°C
28%
28°C
12%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a high of 28°C in Chongqing on April 17 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with light southwest winds below 3 m/s, promoting daytime heating in the city's basin topography that traps warmth. However, closely matched market-implied probabilities—26°C at 38.5% and 27°C at 29.5%—reflect trader caution from recent days' cooler-than-expected airport readings at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport, averaging mid-20s°C amid variable cloud cover, and slight divergences in global models like ECMWF versus domestic GRAPES. Urban heat island effects and peak afternoon insolation remain key differentiators, with final resolution hinging on official airport observations; expect updates from CMA hourly bulletins through tomorrow afternoon.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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