Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 16 high temperature, with implied odds favoring 13°C or higher at 33.5% amid a flat distribution peaking at 9–13°C, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecast projecting a 9°C peak around 15:00 under partly cloudy skies, moderate 5 m/s northerly winds (gusts to 9 m/s), and low 20% precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models introduce variability, as southerly airflow could boost diurnal heating to 12–13°C if high-pressure ridging persists, while increased cloudiness or frontal incursions might cap it at 9–10°C. Mid-April climatology averages 8–10°C highs with significant day-to-day fluctuations; new FMI updates and overnight model runs could sharpen odds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 16?
13°C or higher 34%
12°C 23%
11°C 16%
9°C 16%
3°C or below
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
3%
9°C
16%
10°C
11%
11°C
16%
12°C
24%
13°C or higher
34%
13°C or higher 34%
12°C 23%
11°C 16%
9°C 16%
3°C or below
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
3%
8°C
3%
9°C
16%
10°C
11%
11°C
16%
12°C
24%
13°C or higher
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Helsinki's April 16 high temperature, with implied odds favoring 13°C or higher at 33.5% amid a flat distribution peaking at 9–13°C, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) forecast projecting a 9°C peak around 15:00 under partly cloudy skies, moderate 5 m/s northerly winds (gusts to 9 m/s), and low 20% precipitation risk. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models introduce variability, as southerly airflow could boost diurnal heating to 12–13°C if high-pressure ridging persists, while increased cloudiness or frontal incursions might cap it at 9–10°C. Mid-April climatology averages 8–10°C highs with significant day-to-day fluctuations; new FMI updates and overnight model runs could sharpen odds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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