Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model disagreement for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 17, with BMKG's official short-term guidance capping daytime highs at 30-31°C amid 70-98% light rain probabilities across DKI Jakarta districts, while international models like AccuWeather imply 33°C (91°F) peaks under mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers. Recent days logged 31-32°C highs—sunny on April 15, patchy rain on April 14—highlighting cloud cover variability as the key differentiator: minimal convective activity could boost solar insolation and urban heat island effects toward 34°C, whereas afternoon showers suppress to 32°C. April climatology averages 32°C, with early dry season onset adding upside risk; watch BMKG's April 16 evening update for refined convective outlooks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
34°C 31%
33°C 28%
32°C 25%
35°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
28%
34°C
31%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 31%
33°C 28%
32°C 25%
35°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
28%
34°C
31%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model disagreement for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 17, with BMKG's official short-term guidance capping daytime highs at 30-31°C amid 70-98% light rain probabilities across DKI Jakarta districts, while international models like AccuWeather imply 33°C (91°F) peaks under mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers. Recent days logged 31-32°C highs—sunny on April 15, patchy rain on April 14—highlighting cloud cover variability as the key differentiator: minimal convective activity could boost solar insolation and urban heat island effects toward 34°C, whereas afternoon showers suppress to 32°C. April climatology averages 32°C, with early dry season onset adding upside risk; watch BMKG's April 16 evening update for refined convective outlooks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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