Trader consensus on Polymarket's highest temperature market for London on March 29 heavily favors 11°C at 48.5% implied probability, aligning closely with the latest Met Office forecast for Greater London, which projects a daytime maximum of 11°C under overcast skies, light rain (up to 90% chance in the afternoon), and gusts to 34 mph from an advancing frontal system. This setup follows a chilly night with ground frost and minimums near 4°C, transitioning from Saturday's sunnier intervals and showers, suppressing highs via persistent cloud cover and precipitation. BBC Weather corroborates 11°C with light rain and fresh breezes, while historical March averages hover around 10°C; minor model divergences could nudge outcomes toward 10°C or 12°C, with final observations resolving the market by day's end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 29. März?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 29. März?
11°C 49%
10°C 23%
12°C 18%
9°C 5.1%
$113,447 Vol.
$113,447 Vol.
6°C oder darunter
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
5%
10°C
23%
11°C
49%
12°C
18%
13°C
5%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
11°C 49%
10°C 23%
12°C 18%
9°C 5.1%
$113,447 Vol.
$113,447 Vol.
6°C oder darunter
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
5%
10°C
23%
11°C
49%
12°C
18%
13°C
5%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's highest temperature market for London on March 29 heavily favors 11°C at 48.5% implied probability, aligning closely with the latest Met Office forecast for Greater London, which projects a daytime maximum of 11°C under overcast skies, light rain (up to 90% chance in the afternoon), and gusts to 34 mph from an advancing frontal system. This setup follows a chilly night with ground frost and minimums near 4°C, transitioning from Saturday's sunnier intervals and showers, suppressing highs via persistent cloud cover and precipitation. BBC Weather corroborates 11°C with light rain and fresh breezes, while historical March averages hover around 10°C; minor model divergences could nudge outcomes toward 10°C or 12°C, with final observations resolving the market by day's end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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