Trader consensus favors a Miami high of 82-83°F at 34.5% implied probability on March 28, with 84-85°F (25.5%) and 80-81°F (20.5%) close behind, capturing genuine uncertainty in forecast models amid variable sea breeze influence and afternoon cloudiness. National Weather Service guidance projects peaks near 83°F under ridging aloft, supported by GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 82-85°F, driven by sea surface temperatures near 78°F fueling convective potential while light southerly winds enhance daytime heating. March 27 observations hit 84°F, but isolated showers could trim 1-2°F from extremes. Historical late-March norms hover at 79°F, with traders monitoring 00Z model runs for boundary layer moisture shifts that tip narrow outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 28. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 28. März?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 13%
73°F oder niedriger
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F oder höher
<1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 13%
73°F oder niedriger
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a Miami high of 82-83°F at 34.5% implied probability on March 28, with 84-85°F (25.5%) and 80-81°F (20.5%) close behind, capturing genuine uncertainty in forecast models amid variable sea breeze influence and afternoon cloudiness. National Weather Service guidance projects peaks near 83°F under ridging aloft, supported by GFS and ECMWF ensembles averaging 82-85°F, driven by sea surface temperatures near 78°F fueling convective potential while light southerly winds enhance daytime heating. March 27 observations hit 84°F, but isolated showers could trim 1-2°F from extremes. Historical late-March norms hover at 79°F, with traders monitoring 00Z model runs for boundary layer moisture shifts that tip narrow outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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