Trader sentiment on Chongqing's highest temperature March 26 tilts narrowly toward 21°C at 34% implied probability over 22°C at 26.5%, driven by converged forecasts from China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF showing daytime peaks of 20.5–22°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. Spring's transitional weather amplifies uncertainty, as the city's basin topography enhances afternoon solar heating but risks evening cooldowns from residual cold air masses. Historical March highs average 17–19°C, yet this year's anomalous warmth—fueled by weak La Niña decay—elevates upper-end odds, differentiating 21°C (consensus mean) from 22°C (warm outliers). Ensemble spreads of ±1°C underscore monitoring Chongqing observatory updates for intraday convective activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 26?
21°C 35%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
23°C 14%
18°C or below
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
35%
22°C
26%
23°C
14%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
1%
21°C 35%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
23°C 14%
18°C or below
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
18%
21°C
35%
22°C
26%
23°C
14%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Chongqing's highest temperature March 26 tilts narrowly toward 21°C at 34% implied probability over 22°C at 26.5%, driven by converged forecasts from China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF showing daytime peaks of 20.5–22°C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds. Spring's transitional weather amplifies uncertainty, as the city's basin topography enhances afternoon solar heating but risks evening cooldowns from residual cold air masses. Historical March highs average 17–19°C, yet this year's anomalous warmth—fueled by weak La Niña decay—elevates upper-end odds, differentiating 21°C (consensus mean) from 22°C (warm outliers). Ensemble spreads of ±1°C underscore monitoring Chongqing observatory updates for intraday convective activity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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