Latest forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high-pressure ridge over eastern Argentina will promote sunny skies and subsidence warming in Buenos Aires on March 29, pushing peak temperatures into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, with trader consensus reflecting this tight clustering around 29–31°C. Divergence arises from uncertainties in sea breeze timing, which could moderate coastal highs, and cloud development in the late afternoon; GFS runs lean slightly warmer (favoring 31°C), while ECMWF shows more cooling potential toward 29°C. Observational data from the past 48 hours show stable upper-air patterns with temperatures aloft supporting highs near 30°C, aligning with March climatology where daily maxima average 25–28°C but often spike under ridge influence. Traders await hourly guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional later today, which could sharpen resolution as the date nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
31°C 23%
29°C 23%
30°C 22%
28°C 18%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
18%
29°C
23%
30°C
22%
31°C
25%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
8%
31°C 23%
29°C 23%
30°C 22%
28°C 18%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
18%
29°C
23%
30°C
22%
31°C
25%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high-pressure ridge over eastern Argentina will promote sunny skies and subsidence warming in Buenos Aires on March 29, pushing peak temperatures into the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, with trader consensus reflecting this tight clustering around 29–31°C. Divergence arises from uncertainties in sea breeze timing, which could moderate coastal highs, and cloud development in the late afternoon; GFS runs lean slightly warmer (favoring 31°C), while ECMWF shows more cooling potential toward 29°C. Observational data from the past 48 hours show stable upper-air patterns with temperatures aloft supporting highs near 30°C, aligning with March climatology where daily maxima average 25–28°C but often spike under ridge influence. Traders await hourly guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional later today, which could sharpen resolution as the date nears.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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