Ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS drive the razor-thin odds between 27°C (27.5%) and 28°C (26.5%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 27, with recent 00Z runs averaging 27.8°C but ensembles showing a 1°C spread due to timing of afternoon sea breeze from the Río de la Plata. Southerly winds strengthening post-noon could cap peaks at 27°C by enhancing evaporative cooling and marine layer incursion, while persistent high pressure aloft favors 28°C if diurnal heating dominates urban heat island effects. Historical late-March highs average 27°C, but low model convergence and upcoming 12Z updates keep lower outcomes viable amid forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
29°C 14%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
6%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
14%
30°C
12%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
27°C 28%
28°C 27%
29°C 14%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
6%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
14%
30°C
12%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models like ECMWF and GFS drive the razor-thin odds between 27°C (27.5%) and 28°C (26.5%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 27, with recent 00Z runs averaging 27.8°C but ensembles showing a 1°C spread due to timing of afternoon sea breeze from the Río de la Plata. Southerly winds strengthening post-noon could cap peaks at 27°C by enhancing evaporative cooling and marine layer incursion, while persistent high pressure aloft favors 28°C if diurnal heating dominates urban heat island effects. Historical late-March highs average 27°C, but low model convergence and upcoming 12Z updates keep lower outcomes viable amid forecast uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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