Latest National Weather Service guidance pegs Denver's March 29 high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F range, fueled by a potent upper-level ridge ushering downslope winds and abundant sunshine across the Front Range. This setup mirrors recent model runs, where GFS ensembles cluster around 76-77°F (market-implied 23%) amid moderate warming, while ECMWF outliers push toward 84°F+ (20.5%) due to stronger adiabatic compression and peak heating potential. Trader consensus reflects this spread, with historical late-March analogs (average high 58°F, record 81°F) and low soil moisture amplifying upside risk, though lingering diurnal cloudiness could cap peaks at 74-75°F (16.5%). Uncertainty persists in wind trajectories; 00Z forecasts tonight will clarify.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Denver on March 29?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 29?
76-77°F 23%
84°F or higher 21%
78-79°F 14.1%
74-75°F 12%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
21%
76-77°F 23%
84°F or higher 21%
78-79°F 14.1%
74-75°F 12%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance pegs Denver's March 29 high temperature in the mid-to-upper 70s°F range, fueled by a potent upper-level ridge ushering downslope winds and abundant sunshine across the Front Range. This setup mirrors recent model runs, where GFS ensembles cluster around 76-77°F (market-implied 23%) amid moderate warming, while ECMWF outliers push toward 84°F+ (20.5%) due to stronger adiabatic compression and peak heating potential. Trader consensus reflects this spread, with historical late-March analogs (average high 58°F, record 81°F) and low soil moisture amplifying upside risk, though lingering diurnal cloudiness could cap peaks at 74-75°F (16.5%). Uncertainty persists in wind trajectories; 00Z forecasts tonight will clarify.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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