Traders favor 33°C (40.5%) over 32°C (35.5%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, slightly warmer than the March historical average of 32.2°C at Changi Airport. Differentiating factors include reduced convective activity—lowering rain chances to 20-30%—and persistent easterly winds enhancing the urban heat island effect in this equatorial inter-monsoon period, where diurnal highs often spike 1-2°C above norms. Ensemble models show low divergence, but minor uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze timing could nudge outcomes toward 34°C (14.5%) if cloud breaks lengthen, per NOAA analogs. Market-implied odds reflect this tight forecast consensus amid baseline humidity above 80%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 40%
32°C 35%
34°C 15%
31°C 8%
$35,043 Vol.
$35,043 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
35%
33°C
40%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 40%
32°C 35%
34°C 15%
31°C 8%
$35,043 Vol.
$35,043 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
35%
33°C
40%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders favor 33°C (40.5%) over 32°C (35.5%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 26, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, slightly warmer than the March historical average of 32.2°C at Changi Airport. Differentiating factors include reduced convective activity—lowering rain chances to 20-30%—and persistent easterly winds enhancing the urban heat island effect in this equatorial inter-monsoon period, where diurnal highs often spike 1-2°C above norms. Ensemble models show low divergence, but minor uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze timing could nudge outcomes toward 34°C (14.5%) if cloud breaks lengthen, per NOAA analogs. Market-implied odds reflect this tight forecast consensus amid baseline humidity above 80%.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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