Traders heavily favor 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (32.5%) as Miami's highest temperature on March 26, reflecting ensemble weather model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF pointing to afternoon peaks in the low 80s amid light southerly winds and above-normal sea surface temperatures around Florida. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flows cap peaks at 80-81°F by enhancing coastal cooling, while delayed breezes allow 82-83°F under partial sun—supported by GFS 12z runs showing 81-83°F maxima. Historical March 26 averages hover at 80°F, but a lingering warm anomaly from prior southerlies boosts upper bins, with NWS updates expected to refine diurnal heating profiles amid low volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Miami am 26. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Miami am 26. März?
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 33%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 9%
$14,773 Vol.
$14,773 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
3%
90°F oder höher
1%
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 33%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 9%
$14,773 Vol.
$14,773 Vol.
71°F oder weniger
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
3%
90°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor 80-81°F (35%) and 82-83°F (32.5%) as Miami's highest temperature on March 26, reflecting ensemble weather model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF pointing to afternoon peaks in the low 80s amid light southerly winds and above-normal sea surface temperatures around Florida. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flows cap peaks at 80-81°F by enhancing coastal cooling, while delayed breezes allow 82-83°F under partial sun—supported by GFS 12z runs showing 81-83°F maxima. Historical March 26 averages hover at 80°F, but a lingering warm anomaly from prior southerlies boosts upper bins, with NWS updates expected to refine diurnal heating profiles amid low volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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