Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 24 remains tightly contested, with market-implied probabilities peaking around 31°C or below (25.5%) and 41°C or higher (24.5%), reflecting uncertainty in short-range India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts that cluster mainly between 34-38°C but show spread from dry northerly winds advecting heat versus potential cloud cover. Recent IMD bulletins note rising temperatures amid clear skies and low humidity—historical March 24 highs average 33°C but hit 42°C in heatwaves—driving bets on extremes, while GFS and ECMWF models diverge on peak heating, with resolution hinging on afternoon insolation and soil moisture deficits amplifying hotter outcomes over cooler baselines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 24. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 24. März?
41°C oder höher 49%
32°C 32%
31°C oder darunter 26%
33°C 24%
31°C oder darunter
26%
32°C
23%
33°C
24%
34°C
18%
35°C
17%
36°C
9%
37°C
17%
38°C
15%
39°C
12%
40°C
11%
41°C oder höher
49%
41°C oder höher 49%
32°C 32%
31°C oder darunter 26%
33°C 24%
31°C oder darunter
26%
32°C
23%
33°C
24%
34°C
18%
35°C
17%
36°C
9%
37°C
17%
38°C
15%
39°C
12%
40°C
11%
41°C oder höher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 24 remains tightly contested, with market-implied probabilities peaking around 31°C or below (25.5%) and 41°C or higher (24.5%), reflecting uncertainty in short-range India Meteorological Department (IMD) ensemble forecasts that cluster mainly between 34-38°C but show spread from dry northerly winds advecting heat versus potential cloud cover. Recent IMD bulletins note rising temperatures amid clear skies and low humidity—historical March 24 highs average 33°C but hit 42°C in heatwaves—driving bets on extremes, while GFS and ECMWF models diverge on peak heating, with resolution hinging on afternoon insolation and soil moisture deficits amplifying hotter outcomes over cooler baselines.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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