Mexico City’s high-elevation location (roughly 2,240 m) keeps typical August daily maxima near 23–24 °C, with afternoon convection and cloud cover during the rainy season frequently capping peaks. Official forecasts for 7 August 2026 point to a high around 23 °C amid scattered showers, aligning with the market’s elevated probabilities on the 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited warming potential from clearer skies or subsidence, while urban heat-island effects and any break in cloud cover could push readings toward 26–27 °C, supporting the leading 44.6 % implied probability on 27 °C or higher. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and real-time observations will determine whether temperatures exceed the seasonal envelope before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 7. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 7. August?
24°C 38%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
26°C 8%
NEU
$10,087 Vol.
NEU
$10,087 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
17°C oder weniger
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
18%
24°C
38%
25°C
32%
26°C
8%
27°C oder höher
2%
24°C 38%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
26°C 8%
NEU
$10,087 Vol.
NEU
$10,087 Vol.
7. Aug. 2026
17°C oder weniger
$1,277 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,450 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$647 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$368 Vol.
1%
21°C
$284 Vol.
2%
22°C
$768 Vol.
6%
23°C
$454 Vol.
18%
24°C
$2,060 Vol.
38%
25°C
$900 Vol.
32%
26°C
$1,188 Vol.
8%
27°C oder höher
$692 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City’s high-elevation location (roughly 2,240 m) keeps typical August daily maxima near 23–24 °C, with afternoon convection and cloud cover during the rainy season frequently capping peaks. Official forecasts for 7 August 2026 point to a high around 23 °C amid scattered showers, aligning with the market’s elevated probabilities on the 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited warming potential from clearer skies or subsidence, while urban heat-island effects and any break in cloud cover could push readings toward 26–27 °C, supporting the leading 44.6 % implied probability on 27 °C or higher. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and real-time observations will determine whether temperatures exceed the seasonal envelope before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$10,087Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City’s high-elevation location (roughly 2,240 m) keeps typical August daily maxima near 23–24 °C, with afternoon convection and cloud cover during the rainy season frequently capping peaks. Official forecasts for 7 August 2026 point to a high around 23 °C amid scattered showers, aligning with the market’s elevated probabilities on the 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited warming potential from clearer skies or subsidence, while urban heat-island effects and any break in cloud cover could push readings toward 26–27 °C, supporting the leading 44.6 % implied probability on 27 °C or higher. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and real-time observations will determine whether temperatures exceed the seasonal envelope before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,087Enddatum
7. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City’s high-elevation location (roughly 2,240 m) keeps typical August daily maxima near 23–24 °C, with afternoon convection and cloud cover during the rainy season frequently capping peaks. Official forecasts for 7 August 2026 point to a high around 23 °C amid scattered showers, aligning with the market’s elevated probabilities on the 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited warming potential from clearer skies or subsidence, while urban heat-island effects and any break in cloud cover could push readings toward 26–27 °C, supporting the leading 44.6 % implied probability on 27 °C or higher. Updated National Meteorological Service guidance and real-time observations will determine whether temperatures exceed the seasonal envelope before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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