Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a Milan maximum near 26°C on September 13 under stable high pressure, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that allow sufficient solar heating without strong advection. This setup supports the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C, with a smaller probability mass on 27°C reflecting minor model spread in peak afternoon values. September climatology in the Po Valley favors mid-20s highs, and the absence of significant moisture or frontal activity keeps upside limited. Updated model runs through September 12 show little day-to-day shift, though final resolution will depend on the exact 2-meter temperature reported by official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 13. September?
26°C 64%
27°C 32%
25°C 7%
24°C <1%
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
64%
27°C
32%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 64%
27°C 32%
25°C 7%
24°C <1%
19°C oder weniger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
64%
27°C
32%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a Milan maximum near 26°C on September 13 under stable high pressure, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that allow sufficient solar heating without strong advection. This setup supports the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C, with a smaller probability mass on 27°C reflecting minor model spread in peak afternoon values. September climatology in the Po Valley favors mid-20s highs, and the absence of significant moisture or frontal activity keeps upside limited. Updated model runs through September 12 show little day-to-day shift, though final resolution will depend on the exact 2-meter temperature reported by official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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