Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a Milan minimum near 18°C on September 13 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favoring moderate radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological September lows around 16°C while explaining the dispersed market odds, where probabilities cluster on 15–21°C outcomes amid typical model spread in overnight boundary-layer temperatures. Key differentiators include potential variations in cloud cover timing and local urban heat-island effects that could shift the recorded low by 1–3°C. Final resolution will depend on official station data as tomorrow’s model updates and observational verification approach.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 13. September?
11°C oder niedriger 54%
21°C oder höher 54%
20°C 38%
19°C 31%
11°C oder niedriger
54%
12°C
16%
13°C
10%
14°C
24%
15°C
31%
16°C
25%
17°C
22%
18°C
21%
19°C
31%
20°C
38%
21°C oder höher
54%
11°C oder niedriger 54%
21°C oder höher 54%
20°C 38%
19°C 31%
11°C oder niedriger
54%
12°C
16%
13°C
10%
14°C
24%
15°C
31%
16°C
25%
17°C
22%
18°C
21%
19°C
31%
20°C
38%
21°C oder höher
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a Milan minimum near 18°C on September 13 under stable high pressure, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies favoring moderate radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological September lows around 16°C while explaining the dispersed market odds, where probabilities cluster on 15–21°C outcomes amid typical model spread in overnight boundary-layer temperatures. Key differentiators include potential variations in cloud cover timing and local urban heat-island effects that could shift the recorded low by 1–3°C. Final resolution will depend on official station data as tomorrow’s model updates and observational verification approach.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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