Recent forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring tropical conditions positions a daily maximum near 31°C as the most probable outcome for Panama City on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability. August climatology shows average highs of 29–32°C amid the rainy season's frequent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that moderate extremes, while current steering patterns and moisture levels appear consistent with historical baselines rather than anomalous heat. Shorter-range updates from numerical weather prediction runs will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution, with 30°C and 32°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in timing or localized convection.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 15. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 15. August?
31°C 39%
30°C 24%
32°C 24%
29°C 9%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
24%
31°C
39%
32°C
24%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C oder höher
1%
31°C 39%
30°C 24%
32°C 24%
29°C 9%
NEU
NEU
15. Aug. 2026
25°C oder weniger
$123 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
1%
28°C
$136 Vol.
5%
29°C
$140 Vol.
9%
30°C
$47 Vol.
24%
31°C
$511 Vol.
39%
32°C
$100 Vol.
24%
33°C
$674 Vol.
6%
34°C
$78 Vol.
2%
35°C oder höher
$18 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring tropical conditions positions a daily maximum near 31°C as the most probable outcome for Panama City on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability. August climatology shows average highs of 29–32°C amid the rainy season's frequent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that moderate extremes, while current steering patterns and moisture levels appear consistent with historical baselines rather than anomalous heat. Shorter-range updates from numerical weather prediction runs will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution, with 30°C and 32°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in timing or localized convection.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volumen
$1,981Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring tropical conditions positions a daily maximum near 31°C as the most probable outcome for Panama City on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability. August climatology shows average highs of 29–32°C amid the rainy season's frequent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that moderate extremes, while current steering patterns and moisture levels appear consistent with historical baselines rather than anomalous heat. Shorter-range updates from numerical weather prediction runs will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution, with 30°C and 32°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in timing or localized convection.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,981Enddatum
15. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring tropical conditions positions a daily maximum near 31°C as the most probable outcome for Panama City on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability. August climatology shows average highs of 29–32°C amid the rainy season's frequent cloud cover, showers, and high humidity that moderate extremes, while current steering patterns and moisture levels appear consistent with historical baselines rather than anomalous heat. Shorter-range updates from numerical weather prediction runs will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution, with 30°C and 32°C as close alternatives reflecting minor model spread in timing or localized convection.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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