Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the Polymarket reference—confirm a highest temperature of 23.5°C at 15:01 UTC on April 25, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied odds for the 23°C outcome amid clear skies and high-pressure ridging. This exceeded pre-event ensemble forecasts from Météo-France projecting 20–21°C maxima, driven by abundant sunshine (over 10 hours) and light winds fostering daytime heating, consistent with the warm April trend (monthly mean 12.7°C, ranking 7th highest since 1920). Trader consensus reflects validated METAR/SYNOP data, with nearby days peaking at 22.6°C (April 24). Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or undetected sensor anomalies, as probed in prior Paris stations, though none evident here.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on April 25?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$111,338 Vol.
$111,338 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$111,338 Vol.
$111,338 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 23, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the Polymarket reference—confirm a highest temperature of 23.5°C at 15:01 UTC on April 25, 2026, locking in 100% market-implied odds for the 23°C outcome amid clear skies and high-pressure ridging. This exceeded pre-event ensemble forecasts from Météo-France projecting 20–21°C maxima, driven by abundant sunshine (over 10 hours) and light winds fostering daytime heating, consistent with the warm April trend (monthly mean 12.7°C, ranking 7th highest since 1920). Trader consensus reflects validated METAR/SYNOP data, with nearby days peaking at 22.6°C (April 24). Realistic challenges include rare data revisions post-finalization or undetected sensor anomalies, as probed in prior Paris stations, though none evident here.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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