Trader consensus favors 52-53°F (35%) as Seattle's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing a midday peak near 52°F under mostly cloudy skies with a persistent marine layer suppressing highs. Major numerical weather prediction models like the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, updated in recent 00Z runs, cluster outcomes tightly around 51-53°F, aligning with recent Sea-Tac Airport observations of daytime highs in the upper 40s to low 50s amid cool post-frontal air masses. March climatology averages 54-55°F, but current jet stream positioning favors below-normal temps, with minimal upside risk for 54°F+ per probabilistic guidance; traders eye afternoon soundings for final clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 22. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 22. März?
52-53°F 35%
50-51°F 23%
54-55°F 18%
48-49°F 12%
45°F oder darunter
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
12%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
35%
54-55°F
18%
56–57°F
7%
58-59°F
2%
60–61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F oder höher
1%
52-53°F 35%
50-51°F 23%
54-55°F 18%
48-49°F 12%
45°F oder darunter
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
12%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
35%
54-55°F
18%
56–57°F
7%
58-59°F
2%
60–61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 52-53°F (35%) as Seattle's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing a midday peak near 52°F under mostly cloudy skies with a persistent marine layer suppressing highs. Major numerical weather prediction models like the GFS and ECMWF ensembles, updated in recent 00Z runs, cluster outcomes tightly around 51-53°F, aligning with recent Sea-Tac Airport observations of daytime highs in the upper 40s to low 50s amid cool post-frontal air masses. March climatology averages 54-55°F, but current jet stream positioning favors below-normal temps, with minimal upside risk for 54°F+ per probabilistic guidance; traders eye afternoon soundings for final clarity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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