Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models show Shanghai's high temperature at Pudong International Airport on April 17 clustering around 19–21°C, driving the tight race among 19°C (20.5% implied probability), 20°C (30.5%), and 21°C (22.5%) outcomes as traders weigh model spread. Recent cold air advection earlier in the week suppressed highs below 18°C on April 12–14, but warming upper-air patterns and lighter cloud cover in latest runs favor mild spring conditions near the mid-April climatological average of 20°C. Uncertainty stems from variable low-level winds and potential shower activity, with new 00Z/12Z model updates expected within hours to refine land surface heating potential and resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
20°C 31%
19°C 21%
21°C 20%
22°C 11.3%
NEU
$12,418 Vol.
NEU
$12,418 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
7%
19°C
21%
20°C
31%
21°C
20%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
5%
20°C 31%
19°C 21%
21°C 20%
22°C 11.3%
NEU
$12,418 Vol.
NEU
$12,418 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
13°C or below
$2,199 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,803 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,422 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,096 Vol.
1%
17°C
$698 Vol.
4%
18°C
$435 Vol.
7%
19°C
$363 Vol.
21%
20°C
$576 Vol.
31%
21°C
$456 Vol.
20%
22°C
$1,055 Vol.
11%
23°C or higher
$1,316 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models show Shanghai's high temperature at Pudong International Airport on April 17 clustering around 19–21°C, driving the tight race among 19°C (20.5% implied probability), 20°C (30.5%), and 21°C (22.5%) outcomes as traders weigh model spread. Recent cold air advection earlier in the week suppressed highs below 18°C on April 12–14, but warming upper-air patterns and lighter cloud cover in latest runs favor mild spring conditions near the mid-April climatological average of 20°C. Uncertainty stems from variable low-level winds and potential shower activity, with new 00Z/12Z model updates expected within hours to refine land surface heating potential and resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$12,418Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models show Shanghai's high temperature at Pudong International Airport on April 17 clustering around 19–21°C, driving the tight race among 19°C (20.5% implied probability), 20°C (30.5%), and 21°C (22.5%) outcomes as traders weigh model spread. Recent cold air advection earlier in the week suppressed highs below 18°C on April 12–14, but warming upper-air patterns and lighter cloud cover in latest runs favor mild spring conditions near the mid-April climatological average of 20°C. Uncertainty stems from variable low-level winds and potential shower activity, with new 00Z/12Z model updates expected within hours to refine land surface heating potential and resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,418Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models show Shanghai's high temperature at Pudong International Airport on April 17 clustering around 19–21°C, driving the tight race among 19°C (20.5% implied probability), 20°C (30.5%), and 21°C (22.5%) outcomes as traders weigh model spread. Recent cold air advection earlier in the week suppressed highs below 18°C on April 12–14, but warming upper-air patterns and lighter cloud cover in latest runs favor mild spring conditions near the mid-April climatological average of 20°C. Uncertainty stems from variable low-level winds and potential shower activity, with new 00Z/12Z model updates expected within hours to refine land surface heating potential and resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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