Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 33°C (32%) and 34°C (33.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting model divergence in peak diurnal heating at the NOAA-monitored Ben Gurion Airport station amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Recent observations show April 15-16 highs near 33°C (91°F) under subsident conditions, with low humidity amplifying solar insolation. Israel Meteorological Service forecasts a 30°C maximum, but BBC Weather and Weather Underground align closer to 33°C (86°F), while slight delays in sea breeze onset could push inland temps to 34°C by differentiating afternoon wind patterns and cloud cover. Hourly updates from IMS and global models like ECMWF/GFS today may tip the balance before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
34°C 31%
33°C 31%
35°C or higher 22%
32°C 19%
$10,537 Vol.
$10,537 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
19%
33°C
31%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
22%
34°C 31%
33°C 31%
35°C or higher 22%
32°C 19%
$10,537 Vol.
$10,537 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
19%
33°C
31%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 33°C (32%) and 34°C (33.5%) for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting model divergence in peak diurnal heating at the NOAA-monitored Ben Gurion Airport station amid persistent high pressure and clear skies. Recent observations show April 15-16 highs near 33°C (91°F) under subsident conditions, with low humidity amplifying solar insolation. Israel Meteorological Service forecasts a 30°C maximum, but BBC Weather and Weather Underground align closer to 33°C (86°F), while slight delays in sea breeze onset could push inland temps to 34°C by differentiating afternoon wind patterns and cloud cover. Hourly updates from IMS and global models like ECMWF/GFS today may tip the balance before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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