Trader consensus leans toward an 18°C high in Tel Aviv on March 25, with 22.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means projecting peaks around 18-19°C under a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing convection and limiting shortwave radiation. Closely trailing 17-20°C odds reflect model spread of 2-3°C, influenced by coastal sea breezes from the warming Mediterranean (currently ~17°C) that cap afternoon peaks, alongside light northerly winds reducing mixing. Historical March norms hover at 19-20°C, but recent cooler anomalies from persistent Shamal-like flows differentiate lower outcomes, with official Israel Meteorological Service updates at 06Z expected to sharpen resolution amid low precipitation risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 25. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 25. März?
18°C 23%
19°C 18%
17°C 17%
20°C 17%
14°C oder niedriger
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
17%
18°C
23%
19°C
18%
20°C
17%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C oder höher
1%
18°C 23%
19°C 18%
17°C 17%
20°C 17%
14°C oder niedriger
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
17%
18°C
23%
19°C
18%
20°C
17%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus leans toward an 18°C high in Tel Aviv on March 25, with 22.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble means projecting peaks around 18-19°C under a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing convection and limiting shortwave radiation. Closely trailing 17-20°C odds reflect model spread of 2-3°C, influenced by coastal sea breezes from the warming Mediterranean (currently ~17°C) that cap afternoon peaks, alongside light northerly winds reducing mixing. Historical March norms hover at 19-20°C, but recent cooler anomalies from persistent Shamal-like flows differentiate lower outcomes, with official Israel Meteorological Service updates at 06Z expected to sharpen resolution amid low precipitation risk.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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