Trader consensus clusters tightly around 19-21°C for Tel Aviv's March 23 high, reflecting latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 20°C amid a mild southerly airflow from the Mediterranean. This setup, warmer than the 19°C March climatological norm, stems from high sea surface temperatures (around 18°C) fueling convective heating, though model spread introduces uncertainty—GFS runs skew 1-2°C hotter while IMS guidance tempers expectations with coastal breezes. Historical verification shows Tel Aviv peaks often undershoot early-spring projections by 0.5°C due to evening marine layers, differentiating the razor-thin odds; monitor afternoon updates from official stations for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
20°C 28%
19°C 23%
21°C 21%
18°C 19%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
13%
19°C
25%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
8%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
14%
20°C 28%
19°C 23%
21°C 21%
18°C 19%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
13%
19°C
25%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
8%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 19-21°C for Tel Aviv's March 23 high, reflecting latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 20°C amid a mild southerly airflow from the Mediterranean. This setup, warmer than the 19°C March climatological norm, stems from high sea surface temperatures (around 18°C) fueling convective heating, though model spread introduces uncertainty—GFS runs skew 1-2°C hotter while IMS guidance tempers expectations with coastal breezes. Historical verification shows Tel Aviv peaks often undershoot early-spring projections by 0.5°C due to evening marine layers, differentiating the razor-thin odds; monitor afternoon updates from official stations for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen