The Israel Meteorological Service and blended forecast models like ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29 at around 20°C, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for 21°C or below. Persistent mid-level cloud cover, morning showers with 73% precipitation odds, and breezy southwest winds up to 16 mph—stemming from a weakening high-pressure ridge and passing low-pressure trough—will suppress daytime heating despite typical March climatology of 19-22°C highs. Recent days saw actual highs of 17-19°C amid similar overcast conditions, reinforcing this cool spring pattern. New model runs and IMS updates overnight could refine the outlook ahead of official observations from the Tel Aviv station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
21°C or below 84%
22°C 11%
23°C 3.4%
24°C 2.1%
$15,496 Vol.
$15,496 Vol.
21°C or below
84%
22°C
11%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 84%
22°C 11%
23°C 3.4%
24°C 2.1%
$15,496 Vol.
$15,496 Vol.
21°C or below
84%
22°C
11%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Israel Meteorological Service and blended forecast models like ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29 at around 20°C, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for 21°C or below. Persistent mid-level cloud cover, morning showers with 73% precipitation odds, and breezy southwest winds up to 16 mph—stemming from a weakening high-pressure ridge and passing low-pressure trough—will suppress daytime heating despite typical March climatology of 19-22°C highs. Recent days saw actual highs of 17-19°C amid similar overcast conditions, reinforcing this cool spring pattern. New model runs and IMS updates overnight could refine the outlook ahead of official observations from the Tel Aviv station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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