Trader consensus favors 23°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, with 27.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 24°C at 21.5%, reflecting the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of a 23°C peak under mild high-pressure influence typical of late March's Mediterranean climate. Global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread around 22-25°C, differentiated by coastal sea breeze intensity—stronger onshore winds cap peaks at 22-23°C by enhancing low-level cooling, while lighter flows allow diurnal heating to 24-25°C. Historical March highs average 21-23°C, but recent model runs indicate slight warming from persistent subsidence aloft, with final airport observations resolving amid minimal cloud cover uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 28. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 28. März?
25°C 31%
24°C 28%
23°C 28%
22°C 25%
17°C oder darunter
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
13%
21°C
15%
22°C
17%
23°C
28%
24°C
28%
25°C
18%
26°C
8%
27°C oder höher
6%
25°C 31%
24°C 28%
23°C 28%
22°C 25%
17°C oder darunter
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
9%
20°C
13%
21°C
15%
22°C
17%
23°C
28%
24°C
28%
25°C
18%
26°C
8%
27°C oder höher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 23°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, with 27.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 24°C at 21.5%, reflecting the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of a 23°C peak under mild high-pressure influence typical of late March's Mediterranean climate. Global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a tight spread around 22-25°C, differentiated by coastal sea breeze intensity—stronger onshore winds cap peaks at 22-23°C by enhancing low-level cooling, while lighter flows allow diurnal heating to 24-25°C. Historical March highs average 21-23°C, but recent model runs indicate slight warming from persistent subsidence aloft, with final airport observations resolving amid minimal cloud cover uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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