Latest forecasts from Israel's Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward a Tel Aviv high temperature of 18-19°C on March 27, with 19°C edging out at 33.5% implied probability amid tight clustering. These odds reflect model ensemble means hovering near 18.5°C, influenced by a mild southerly airflow and partial cloud cover tempering solar heating, against a March historical average high of 19.5°C. Differentiating factors include minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing—GFS runs cooler at ~18°C due to enhanced sea breeze, while ECMWF implies slightly warmer peaks—and recent observations of overnight lows around 14°C, heightening uncertainty in diurnal warming. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model updates for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 27. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 27. März?
18°C 31%
19°C 27%
17°C 24%
20°C 13%
13°C oder darunter
7%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
21%
18°C
31%
19°C
34%
20°C
19%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C oder höher
6%
18°C 31%
19°C 27%
17°C 24%
20°C 13%
13°C oder darunter
7%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
21%
18°C
31%
19°C
34%
20°C
19%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C oder höher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from Israel's Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS drive trader consensus toward a Tel Aviv high temperature of 18-19°C on March 27, with 19°C edging out at 33.5% implied probability amid tight clustering. These odds reflect model ensemble means hovering near 18.5°C, influenced by a mild southerly airflow and partial cloud cover tempering solar heating, against a March historical average high of 19.5°C. Differentiating factors include minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing—GFS runs cooler at ~18°C due to enhanced sea breeze, while ECMWF implies slightly warmer peaks—and recent observations of overnight lows around 14°C, heightening uncertainty in diurnal warming. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z model updates for resolution shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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