Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 15 projects a high of 21°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, following today's observed 21°C peak amid similar conditions. However, trader consensus on Polymarket—implied probabilities peaking at 36.5% for 18°C, 25.5% for 19°C, and 18% for 17°C—reflects caution over short-term model uncertainty and springtime variability, where mid-April highs typically average 19°C with frequent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble forecasts show divergence, with cooler outcomes possible from incoming frontal moisture; watch for JMA's next update this afternoon, which could refine intensification potential or steering patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
18°C 37%
19°C 26%
17°C 19%
20°C 12%
NEU
$14,147 Vol.
NEU
$14,147 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C
26%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
3%
18°C 37%
19°C 26%
17°C 19%
20°C 12%
NEU
$14,147 Vol.
NEU
$14,147 Vol.
17. Apr. 2026
12°C or below
$1,951 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,950 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,777 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,372 Vol.
3%
16°C
$1,262 Vol.
6%
17°C
$534 Vol.
19%
18°C
$739 Vol.
37%
19°C
$533 Vol.
26%
20°C
$1,454 Vol.
12%
21°C
$1,539 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$1,643 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 15 projects a high of 21°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, following today's observed 21°C peak amid similar conditions. However, trader consensus on Polymarket—implied probabilities peaking at 36.5% for 18°C, 25.5% for 19°C, and 18% for 17°C—reflects caution over short-term model uncertainty and springtime variability, where mid-April highs typically average 19°C with frequent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble forecasts show divergence, with cooler outcomes possible from incoming frontal moisture; watch for JMA's next update this afternoon, which could refine intensification potential or steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$14,147Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 15 projects a high of 21°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, following today's observed 21°C peak amid similar conditions. However, trader consensus on Polymarket—implied probabilities peaking at 36.5% for 18°C, 25.5% for 19°C, and 18% for 17°C—reflects caution over short-term model uncertainty and springtime variability, where mid-April highs typically average 19°C with frequent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble forecasts show divergence, with cooler outcomes possible from incoming frontal moisture; watch for JMA's next update this afternoon, which could refine intensification potential or steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$14,147Enddatum
17. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 15 projects a high of 21°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, following today's observed 21°C peak amid similar conditions. However, trader consensus on Polymarket—implied probabilities peaking at 36.5% for 18°C, 25.5% for 19°C, and 18% for 17°C—reflects caution over short-term model uncertainty and springtime variability, where mid-April highs typically average 19°C with frequent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble forecasts show divergence, with cooler outcomes possible from incoming frontal moisture; watch for JMA's next update this afternoon, which could refine intensification potential or steering patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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