MetService's latest extended forecast projects a 20°C daytime high for Wellington on April 8 under showers clearing to partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies in the afternoon, transporting warmer subtropical air and elevating temperatures above the April climatological average of 16–17°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 20–21°C outcomes due to model consensus on northerly flows but uncertainty in exact cloud cover timing and peak wind strength—stronger northerlies or faster clearing could nudge peaks to 21°C or higher, while lingering showers might cap at 19°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near- or above-average autumn temperatures amid neutral ENSO conditions. Watch for daily MetService updates and ECMWF/GFS runs through April 7 for shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Wellington on April 8?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 8?
21°C 27%
20°C 25%
19°C 18%
18°C 14%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
14%
19°C
18%
20°C
25%
21°C
27%
22°C or higher
9%
21°C 27%
20°C 25%
19°C 18%
18°C 14%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
14%
19°C
18%
20°C
25%
21°C
27%
22°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest extended forecast projects a 20°C daytime high for Wellington on April 8 under showers clearing to partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies in the afternoon, transporting warmer subtropical air and elevating temperatures above the April climatological average of 16–17°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 20–21°C outcomes due to model consensus on northerly flows but uncertainty in exact cloud cover timing and peak wind strength—stronger northerlies or faster clearing could nudge peaks to 21°C or higher, while lingering showers might cap at 19°C. NIWA's seasonal outlook supports near- or above-average autumn temperatures amid neutral ENSO conditions. Watch for daily MetService updates and ECMWF/GFS runs through April 7 for shifts in implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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