Persistent inflation, with July PCE at 3.7% year-over-year and core measures holding at 3.3%, alongside the July FOMC's 9-3 hawkish dissent, anchors trader expectations for multiple dissents at the September meeting. Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks reinforced a data-dependent, inflation-focused stance without committing to action, sustaining divisions among regional presidents amid resilient labor conditions and energy price risks. Market-implied odds favor three dissents as the plurality outcome, reflecting the carryover from July while acknowledging potential for broader opposition if August CPI or payrolls surprise to the upside; lower probabilities for zero or one dissent underscore the committee's ongoing split over the federal funds rate path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Meinungsverschiedenheiten gab es bei der Fed-Sitzung im September?
3 32%
4+ 21%
2 18%
1 16%
0
15%
1
16%
2
18%
3
35%
4+
21%
3 32%
4+ 21%
2 18%
1 16%
0
15%
1
16%
2
18%
3
35%
4+
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation, with July PCE at 3.7% year-over-year and core measures holding at 3.3%, alongside the July FOMC's 9-3 hawkish dissent, anchors trader expectations for multiple dissents at the September meeting. Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks reinforced a data-dependent, inflation-focused stance without committing to action, sustaining divisions among regional presidents amid resilient labor conditions and energy price risks. Market-implied odds favor three dissents as the plurality outcome, reflecting the carryover from July while acknowledging potential for broader opposition if August CPI or payrolls surprise to the upside; lower probabilities for zero or one dissent underscore the committee's ongoing split over the federal funds rate path.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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