Recent cooling from scattered rainfall and a passing upper-level trough on August 28 has lowered overnight minima in Beijing to around 18–19°C, setting the stage for the August 30 low. Clearing skies and northwest winds are expected to promote radiative cooling under dry conditions with dew points near 13–16°C, while model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to an 18–20°C minimum. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact wind speeds, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island effects, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, traders weigh these variables against historical late-August baselines near 20°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 30. August?
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
19°C 49%
23°C or higher 38%
13°C or below
13%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
33%
18°C
29%
19°C
49%
20°C
26%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
38%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
19°C 49%
23°C or higher 38%
13°C or below
13%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
33%
18°C
29%
19°C
49%
20°C
26%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from scattered rainfall and a passing upper-level trough on August 28 has lowered overnight minima in Beijing to around 18–19°C, setting the stage for the August 30 low. Clearing skies and northwest winds are expected to promote radiative cooling under dry conditions with dew points near 13–16°C, while model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to an 18–20°C minimum. Slight differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact wind speeds, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island effects, which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, traders weigh these variables against historical late-August baselines near 20°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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