Trader consensus places an 85% implied probability on 19°C as Busan’s lowest temperature for September 17, consistent with Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing stable high-pressure dominance and minimal overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Mid-September climatology for the region features typical lows in the upper teens Celsius as summer moisture retreats and cooler continental air begins to influence the Korean Peninsula. Model guidance shows little disagreement on the absence of strong frontal systems or rapid advection that could drive readings lower, keeping 18°C or below at just 15.5%. Fresh surface observations and evening forecast updates will determine whether any late-day adjustments shift these market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Busan am 17. September?
19°C 99%
14°C oder darunter 53%
18°C 31%
17°C 8%
14°C oder darunter
53%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
31%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
19°C 99%
14°C oder darunter 53%
18°C 31%
17°C 8%
14°C oder darunter
53%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
31%
19°C
99%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus places an 85% implied probability on 19°C as Busan’s lowest temperature for September 17, consistent with Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing stable high-pressure dominance and minimal overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies. Mid-September climatology for the region features typical lows in the upper teens Celsius as summer moisture retreats and cooler continental air begins to influence the Korean Peninsula. Model guidance shows little disagreement on the absence of strong frontal systems or rapid advection that could drive readings lower, keeping 18°C or below at just 15.5%. Fresh surface observations and evening forecast updates will determine whether any late-day adjustments shift these market-implied odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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