**Recent model runs and synoptic patterns create genuine uncertainty around Qingdao’s September 19 minimum temperature, keeping the market-implied odds for a low of 14 °C or below and 24 °C or higher nearly even at 47.5 % each.** Coastal location on the Yellow Sea typically moderates extremes through marine influence and limited diurnal range, yet forecasters note competing signals: clear skies and light southerly flow could allow strong nocturnal radiational cooling toward the lower teens, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind shift might hold the minimum near or above 20 °C. Historical September overnight lows cluster around 19–20 °C, so the balanced probabilities reflect traders weighting both the potential for enhanced cooling under calm, clear conditions and the risk of warmer advection or residual cloud cover. Updated high-resolution guidance and official station observations expected overnight will likely resolve the spread before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 19. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 19. September?
14°C oder darunter 95%
24°C oder höher 95%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
95%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C oder höher
95%
14°C oder darunter 95%
24°C oder höher 95%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
95%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$14 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C
$0 Vol.
40%
24°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model runs and synoptic patterns create genuine uncertainty around Qingdao’s September 19 minimum temperature, keeping the market-implied odds for a low of 14 °C or below and 24 °C or higher nearly even at 47.5 % each.** Coastal location on the Yellow Sea typically moderates extremes through marine influence and limited diurnal range, yet forecasters note competing signals: clear skies and light southerly flow could allow strong nocturnal radiational cooling toward the lower teens, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind shift might hold the minimum near or above 20 °C. Historical September overnight lows cluster around 19–20 °C, so the balanced probabilities reflect traders weighting both the potential for enhanced cooling under calm, clear conditions and the risk of warmer advection or residual cloud cover. Updated high-resolution guidance and official station observations expected overnight will likely resolve the spread before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$14Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model runs and synoptic patterns create genuine uncertainty around Qingdao’s September 19 minimum temperature, keeping the market-implied odds for a low of 14 °C or below and 24 °C or higher nearly even at 47.5 % each.** Coastal location on the Yellow Sea typically moderates extremes through marine influence and limited diurnal range, yet forecasters note competing signals: clear skies and light southerly flow could allow strong nocturnal radiational cooling toward the lower teens, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind shift might hold the minimum near or above 20 °C. Historical September overnight lows cluster around 19–20 °C, so the balanced probabilities reflect traders weighting both the potential for enhanced cooling under calm, clear conditions and the risk of warmer advection or residual cloud cover. Updated high-resolution guidance and official station observations expected overnight will likely resolve the spread before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model runs and synoptic patterns create genuine uncertainty around Qingdao’s September 19 minimum temperature, keeping the market-implied odds for a low of 14 °C or below and 24 °C or higher nearly even at 47.5 % each.** Coastal location on the Yellow Sea typically moderates extremes through marine influence and limited diurnal range, yet forecasters note competing signals: clear skies and light southerly flow could allow strong nocturnal radiational cooling toward the lower teens, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind shift might hold the minimum near or above 20 °C. Historical September overnight lows cluster around 19–20 °C, so the balanced probabilities reflect traders weighting both the potential for enhanced cooling under calm, clear conditions and the risk of warmer advection or residual cloud cover. Updated high-resolution guidance and official station observations expected overnight will likely resolve the spread before the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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