Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum near 18–20°C for Qingdao on September 18 under a cloudy-to-sunny transition with light southeast winds. This range reflects moderate overnight radiative cooling tempered by coastal marine air and residual cloud cover that limits temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in cloud timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the observed low by 1–2°C. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution centered on late-summer climatology for the region. Updated model runs and official observations on the 17th will likely tighten the implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 18. September?
16°C oder darunter 100%
26°C oder höher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
16°C oder darunter
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
98%
16°C oder darunter 100%
26°C oder höher 98%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
16°C oder darunter
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum near 18–20°C for Qingdao on September 18 under a cloudy-to-sunny transition with light southeast winds. This range reflects moderate overnight radiative cooling tempered by coastal marine air and residual cloud cover that limits temperature drops. Trader sentiment remains balanced across bins because small shifts in cloud timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the observed low by 1–2°C. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping the distribution centered on late-summer climatology for the region. Updated model runs and official observations on the 17th will likely tighten the implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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