Current forecast uncertainty for Busan’s September 19 minimum temperature stems from competing model signals on an approaching mid-latitude trough and possible weak frontal boundary. Ensemble guidance shows variable low-level moisture and cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near or above 25 °C, while clearer, drier air behind any front would favor stronger cooling toward 15 °C or below. Marine influence from the Korea Strait and urban effects in the coastal city add further variability to boundary-layer mixing. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest Korean Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs, which diverge on timing and strength of the system. Historical September minima in Busan average near 18–20 °C, underscoring how sensitive the outcome remains to 48-hour forecast shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Busan am 19. September?
15°C oder darunter 100%
25°C oder höher 98%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
15°C oder darunter
100%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C oder höher
98%
15°C oder darunter 100%
25°C oder höher 98%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
15°C oder darunter
100%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C oder höher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast uncertainty for Busan’s September 19 minimum temperature stems from competing model signals on an approaching mid-latitude trough and possible weak frontal boundary. Ensemble guidance shows variable low-level moisture and cloud cover that could suppress radiative cooling and keep overnight lows near or above 25 °C, while clearer, drier air behind any front would favor stronger cooling toward 15 °C or below. Marine influence from the Korea Strait and urban effects in the coastal city add further variability to boundary-layer mixing. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest Korean Meteorological Administration and ECMWF runs, which diverge on timing and strength of the system. Historical September minima in Busan average near 18–20 °C, underscoring how sensitive the outcome remains to 48-hour forecast shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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