National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 28 project a daily minimum near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds of 5-10 mph, which limit radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the climatological average low of about 65°F and produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 64-69°F bins. Key variables creating uncertainty include minor differences in model guidance on cloud cover, potential lake-breeze moderation, and urban heat island influences that can shift the exact overnight low by 1-2°F. Traders are weighting these factors against recent stable high-pressure conditions, with final resolution depending on official observations by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chicago am 28. August?
66-67°F 49%
70-71°F 49%
58-59°F 26%
68-69°F 26%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
9%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 49%
70-71°F 49%
58-59°F 26%
68-69°F 26%
NEU
NEU
28. Aug. 2026
55°F or below
$19 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$21 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
26%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
7%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
13%
64-65°F
$6 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$39 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70-71°F
$75 Vol.
49%
72-73°F
$13 Vol.
9%
74°F or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 28 project a daily minimum near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds of 5-10 mph, which limit radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the climatological average low of about 65°F and produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 64-69°F bins. Key variables creating uncertainty include minor differences in model guidance on cloud cover, potential lake-breeze moderation, and urban heat island influences that can shift the exact overnight low by 1-2°F. Traders are weighting these factors against recent stable high-pressure conditions, with final resolution depending on official observations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$178Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 28 project a daily minimum near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds of 5-10 mph, which limit radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the climatological average low of about 65°F and produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 64-69°F bins. Key variables creating uncertainty include minor differences in model guidance on cloud cover, potential lake-breeze moderation, and urban heat island influences that can shift the exact overnight low by 1-2°F. Traders are weighting these factors against recent stable high-pressure conditions, with final resolution depending on official observations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$178Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 28 project a daily minimum near 65°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds of 5-10 mph, which limit radiational cooling overnight. This aligns with the climatological average low of about 65°F and produces the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 64-69°F bins. Key variables creating uncertainty include minor differences in model guidance on cloud cover, potential lake-breeze moderation, and urban heat island influences that can shift the exact overnight low by 1-2°F. Traders are weighting these factors against recent stable high-pressure conditions, with final resolution depending on official observations by midnight.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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