Latest official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble model guidance position the overnight minimum in London on September 16 near 13°C, driving the 59.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling while preventing significant advection of colder air, consistent with mid-September climatology where typical lows range 10–14°C. Multiple runs show the temperature bottoming out between 12–14°C during the pre-dawn hours before rising under increasing cloud cover, with minimal model spread supporting tight clustering around 13°C. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily given the short time horizon and high-resolution guidance available from agencies like the Met Office.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in London am 16. September?
13°C 61%
12°C 21%
14°C 17%
15°C 2%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
8°C oder darunter
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
21%
13°C
61%
14°C
17%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C oder höher
1%
13°C 61%
12°C 21%
14°C 17%
15°C 2%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
8°C oder darunter
$31 Vol.
1%
9°C
$31 Vol.
1%
10°C
$16 Vol.
1%
11°C
$16 Vol.
1%
12°C
$818 Vol.
21%
13°C
$932 Vol.
61%
14°C
$270 Vol.
17%
15°C
$75 Vol.
2%
16°C
$31 Vol.
1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
1%
18°C oder höher
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble model guidance position the overnight minimum in London on September 16 near 13°C, driving the 59.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling while preventing significant advection of colder air, consistent with mid-September climatology where typical lows range 10–14°C. Multiple runs show the temperature bottoming out between 12–14°C during the pre-dawn hours before rising under increasing cloud cover, with minimal model spread supporting tight clustering around 13°C. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily given the short time horizon and high-resolution guidance available from agencies like the Met Office.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$2,282Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble model guidance position the overnight minimum in London on September 16 near 13°C, driving the 59.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling while preventing significant advection of colder air, consistent with mid-September climatology where typical lows range 10–14°C. Multiple runs show the temperature bottoming out between 12–14°C during the pre-dawn hours before rising under increasing cloud cover, with minimal model spread supporting tight clustering around 13°C. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily given the short time horizon and high-resolution guidance available from agencies like the Met Office.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,282Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble model guidance position the overnight minimum in London on September 16 near 13°C, driving the 59.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Westerly flow and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling while preventing significant advection of colder air, consistent with mid-September climatology where typical lows range 10–14°C. Multiple runs show the temperature bottoming out between 12–14°C during the pre-dawn hours before rising under increasing cloud cover, with minimal model spread supporting tight clustering around 13°C. Traders are weighting the consensus forecast heavily given the short time horizon and high-resolution guidance available from agencies like the Met Office.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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