Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge over southern England on September 5, 2026, with light westerly winds and mostly clear overnight conditions favoring radiational cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 13–14 °C in central London, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and dew points around 10–12 °C, limiting further cooling while preventing significant warming from advection. Historical September climatology for the city places typical overnight lows in this range, with deviations driven mainly by wind speed and sky cover rather than large-scale air-mass changes. Updated runs through September 4 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 5. September?
14°C 42%
13°C 35%
10°C oder darunter 24%
16°C 23%
10°C oder darunter
24%
11°C
8%
12°C
14%
13°C
30%
14°C
42%
15°C
24%
16°C
23%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C oder höher
2%
14°C 42%
13°C 35%
10°C oder darunter 24%
16°C 23%
10°C oder darunter
24%
11°C
8%
12°C
14%
13°C
30%
14°C
42%
15°C
24%
16°C
23%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge over southern England on September 5, 2026, with light westerly winds and mostly clear overnight conditions favoring radiational cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 13–14 °C in central London, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Model consensus shows limited cloud cover and dew points around 10–12 °C, limiting further cooling while preventing significant warming from advection. Historical September climatology for the city places typical overnight lows in this range, with deviations driven mainly by wind speed and sky cover rather than large-scale air-mass changes. Updated runs through September 4 will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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