Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 2 will likely fall between 17–19 °C under persistent clear skies and light northeasterly winds, with daytime maxima exceeding 33 °C amid an established warm air mass. This positioning reflects limited radiative cooling overnight, typical for early-September climatology where the historical average low sits near 17.6 °C, yet current high pressure suppresses cloud cover and moisture that could otherwise moderate temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing or subtle advection shifts able to tip the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will refine the resolution criteria before the market closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 2. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Madrid am 2. September?
17°C or below 50%
18°C 28%
21°C 20%
22°C 15%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
17°C or below
30%
18°C
28%
19°C
13%
20°C
1%
21°C
20%
22°C
15%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
17°C or below 50%
18°C 28%
21°C 20%
22°C 15%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
17°C or below
$49 Vol.
30%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$26 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
20%
22°C
$5 Vol.
15%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
7%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 2 will likely fall between 17–19 °C under persistent clear skies and light northeasterly winds, with daytime maxima exceeding 33 °C amid an established warm air mass. This positioning reflects limited radiative cooling overnight, typical for early-September climatology where the historical average low sits near 17.6 °C, yet current high pressure suppresses cloud cover and moisture that could otherwise moderate temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing or subtle advection shifts able to tip the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will refine the resolution criteria before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$110Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 2 will likely fall between 17–19 °C under persistent clear skies and light northeasterly winds, with daytime maxima exceeding 33 °C amid an established warm air mass. This positioning reflects limited radiative cooling overnight, typical for early-September climatology where the historical average low sits near 17.6 °C, yet current high pressure suppresses cloud cover and moisture that could otherwise moderate temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing or subtle advection shifts able to tip the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will refine the resolution criteria before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$110Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 2 will likely fall between 17–19 °C under persistent clear skies and light northeasterly winds, with daytime maxima exceeding 33 °C amid an established warm air mass. This positioning reflects limited radiative cooling overnight, typical for early-September climatology where the historical average low sits near 17.6 °C, yet current high pressure suppresses cloud cover and moisture that could otherwise moderate temperatures. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble spreads remain modest two days ahead, with small differences in boundary-layer mixing or subtle advection shifts able to tip the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs from agencies such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will refine the resolution criteria before the market closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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