Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate typical monsoon-season conditions for Manila on September 18, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from the ITCZ, and scattered thunderstorms keeping the daily minimum near 25–26 °C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher brackets because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or wind speed can alter the magnitude of nocturnal cooling by 2–4 °C in this low-diurnal-range tropical environment. Clearer breaks would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor cooler readings, while thicker convective clouds or warm-moist advection would suppress the drop. No major tropical cyclone is currently steering the region, leaving model consensus sensitive to the next 24-hour update from official agencies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 18. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 18. September?
20°C oder darunter 84%
30°C oder höher 84%
27°C 40%
23°C 39%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
20°C oder darunter
84%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
23%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
38%
29°C
38%
30°C oder höher
84%
20°C oder darunter 84%
30°C oder höher 84%
27°C 40%
23°C 39%
NEU
NEU
18. Sep. 2026
20°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
84%
21°C
$0 Vol.
38%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26°C
$0 Vol.
24%
27°C
$32 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
38%
29°C
$0 Vol.
38%
30°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate typical monsoon-season conditions for Manila on September 18, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from the ITCZ, and scattered thunderstorms keeping the daily minimum near 25–26 °C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher brackets because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or wind speed can alter the magnitude of nocturnal cooling by 2–4 °C in this low-diurnal-range tropical environment. Clearer breaks would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor cooler readings, while thicker convective clouds or warm-moist advection would suppress the drop. No major tropical cyclone is currently steering the region, leaving model consensus sensitive to the next 24-hour update from official agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$32Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate typical monsoon-season conditions for Manila on September 18, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from the ITCZ, and scattered thunderstorms keeping the daily minimum near 25–26 °C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher brackets because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or wind speed can alter the magnitude of nocturnal cooling by 2–4 °C in this low-diurnal-range tropical environment. Clearer breaks would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor cooler readings, while thicker convective clouds or warm-moist advection would suppress the drop. No major tropical cyclone is currently steering the region, leaving model consensus sensitive to the next 24-hour update from official agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32Enddatum
18. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate typical monsoon-season conditions for Manila on September 18, with nighttime radiative cooling limited by high humidity, persistent cloud cover from the ITCZ, and scattered thunderstorms keeping the daily minimum near 25–26 °C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 20 °C-or-below and 30 °C-or-higher brackets because small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or wind speed can alter the magnitude of nocturnal cooling by 2–4 °C in this low-diurnal-range tropical environment. Clearer breaks would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor cooler readings, while thicker convective clouds or warm-moist advection would suppress the drop. No major tropical cyclone is currently steering the region, leaving model consensus sensitive to the next 24-hour update from official agencies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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