Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity (80-90%), widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms, are the main drivers keeping Manila's diurnal temperature range narrow. Official and model forecasts for September 3 indicate overnight lows near 25-27°C under mostly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate southwest winds, consistent with September climatology of average lows around 25°C. Heavy rainfall and moisture suppress both daytime heating and radiative cooling at night, reducing the likelihood of extremes. Trader sentiment appears split between moderate outcomes near the forecast range and low-probability tails, reflecting uncertainty in short-term model runs and the inherent variability possible from localized convective activity or slight steering-pattern shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 3. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 3. September?
21°C oder weniger 69%
31°C oder höher 69%
29°C 49%
23°C 48%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
21°C oder weniger
69%
22°C
15%
23°C
48%
24°C
26%
25°C
31%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
26%
29°C
49%
30°C
16%
31°C oder höher
69%
21°C oder weniger 69%
31°C oder höher 69%
29°C 49%
23°C 48%
NEU
NEU
3. Sep. 2026
21°C oder weniger
$5 Vol.
69%
22°C
$5 Vol.
15%
23°C
$5 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
16%
31°C oder höher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity (80-90%), widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms, are the main drivers keeping Manila's diurnal temperature range narrow. Official and model forecasts for September 3 indicate overnight lows near 25-27°C under mostly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate southwest winds, consistent with September climatology of average lows around 25°C. Heavy rainfall and moisture suppress both daytime heating and radiative cooling at night, reducing the likelihood of extremes. Trader sentiment appears split between moderate outcomes near the forecast range and low-probability tails, reflecting uncertainty in short-term model runs and the inherent variability possible from localized convective activity or slight steering-pattern shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$30Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity (80-90%), widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms, are the main drivers keeping Manila's diurnal temperature range narrow. Official and model forecasts for September 3 indicate overnight lows near 25-27°C under mostly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate southwest winds, consistent with September climatology of average lows around 25°C. Heavy rainfall and moisture suppress both daytime heating and radiative cooling at night, reducing the likelihood of extremes. Trader sentiment appears split between moderate outcomes near the forecast range and low-probability tails, reflecting uncertainty in short-term model runs and the inherent variability possible from localized convective activity or slight steering-pattern shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$30Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity (80-90%), widespread cloud cover, and frequent thunderstorms, are the main drivers keeping Manila's diurnal temperature range narrow. Official and model forecasts for September 3 indicate overnight lows near 25-27°C under mostly cloudy skies and light-to-moderate southwest winds, consistent with September climatology of average lows around 25°C. Heavy rainfall and moisture suppress both daytime heating and radiative cooling at night, reducing the likelihood of extremes. Trader sentiment appears split between moderate outcomes near the forecast range and low-probability tails, reflecting uncertainty in short-term model runs and the inherent variability possible from localized convective activity or slight steering-pattern shifts before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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