Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place Miami's overnight low for August 18 near 80-81°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 80-81°F and secondary support for 78-79°F, reflecting historical August climatology where daily lows average 78-82°F. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability absent tropical disturbances or frontal passages, keeping probabilities stable. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily while noting that any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge the minimum lower within the resolution bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 18. August?
80-81°F 64%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 18%
82-83°F 14%
69°F oder darunter
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
6%
88°F oder höher
1%
80-81°F 64%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 18%
82-83°F 14%
69°F oder darunter
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
6%
88°F oder höher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather place Miami's overnight low for August 18 near 80-81°F under persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 45.5% implied probability for 80-81°F and secondary support for 78-79°F, reflecting historical August climatology where daily lows average 78-82°F. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability absent tropical disturbances or frontal passages, keeping probabilities stable. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily while noting that any unexpected cloud cover or wind shift could nudge the minimum lower within the resolution bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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