Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center highlight a nighttime low near 8°C in Moscow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 6–11 m/s and normal pressure, driving the tight market clustering around 8°C and 9°C implied probabilities. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by variable cloud cover that limits heat loss and light winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing, creates the narrow spread between these thresholds. Ensemble model runs show minor divergences in minimum temperature due to subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture, while historical September averages near 8.6°C provide context but recent mild conditions have kept extremes unlikely. Real-time station observations through the night will refine resolution as cooling peaks before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 12. September?
9°C 51%
4°C oder weniger 50%
7°C 10%
6°C 6%
$284 Vol.
$284 Vol.
4°C oder weniger
50%
5°C
4%
6°C
6%
7°C
10%
8°C
51%
9°C
51%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C oder höher
<1%
9°C 51%
4°C oder weniger 50%
7°C 10%
6°C 6%
$284 Vol.
$284 Vol.
4°C oder weniger
50%
5°C
4%
6°C
6%
7°C
10%
8°C
51%
9°C
51%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center highlight a nighttime low near 8°C in Moscow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 6–11 m/s and normal pressure, driving the tight market clustering around 8°C and 9°C implied probabilities. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by variable cloud cover that limits heat loss and light winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing, creates the narrow spread between these thresholds. Ensemble model runs show minor divergences in minimum temperature due to subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture, while historical September averages near 8.6°C provide context but recent mild conditions have kept extremes unlikely. Real-time station observations through the night will refine resolution as cooling peaks before dawn.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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