Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate Munich's September 8 minimum will likely fall between 15–19 °C under southerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This consensus supports the market's elevated implied probability for 12 °C or below (45.5 %) and 13–14 °C bins (50 % combined), as small downward revisions in overnight lows remain plausible if cloud cover decreases or high pressure strengthens. Historical September minima average 11.1 °C, yet 2026 conditions reflect a warmer baseline, with model spread and timing of any frontal passage introducing the main uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 8. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 8. September?
14°C 40%
13°C 30%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
NEU
NEU
8. Sep. 2026
12°C oder niedriger
46%
13°C
30%
14°C
28%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
14°C 40%
13°C 30%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
NEU
NEU
8. Sep. 2026
12°C oder niedriger
$26 Vol.
46%
13°C
$11 Vol.
30%
14°C
$11 Vol.
28%
15°C
$360 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate Munich's September 8 minimum will likely fall between 15–19 °C under southerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This consensus supports the market's elevated implied probability for 12 °C or below (45.5 %) and 13–14 °C bins (50 % combined), as small downward revisions in overnight lows remain plausible if cloud cover decreases or high pressure strengthens. Historical September minima average 11.1 °C, yet 2026 conditions reflect a warmer baseline, with model spread and timing of any frontal passage introducing the main uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,164Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate Munich's September 8 minimum will likely fall between 15–19 °C under southerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This consensus supports the market's elevated implied probability for 12 °C or below (45.5 %) and 13–14 °C bins (50 % combined), as small downward revisions in overnight lows remain plausible if cloud cover decreases or high pressure strengthens. Historical September minima average 11.1 °C, yet 2026 conditions reflect a warmer baseline, with model spread and timing of any frontal passage introducing the main uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,164Enddatum
8. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and DWD outputs, indicate Munich's September 8 minimum will likely fall between 15–19 °C under southerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This consensus supports the market's elevated implied probability for 12 °C or below (45.5 %) and 13–14 °C bins (50 % combined), as small downward revisions in overnight lows remain plausible if cloud cover decreases or high pressure strengthens. Historical September minima average 11.1 °C, yet 2026 conditions reflect a warmer baseline, with model spread and timing of any frontal passage introducing the main uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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