Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Paris on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and southwesterly flow advecting milder Atlantic air. Overnight radiative cooling remains limited under these conditions, keeping lows above the long-term average of 13.5°C. Trader emphasis on 16°C reflects alignment across short-range guidance, with 17–18°C options capturing minor model spread on timing of any clearer intervals. The market’s distribution mirrors typical late-summer variability, where small shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction can adjust the overnight low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 29. August?
16°C 48%
18°C 18%
17°C 18%
15°C 17%
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
17%
16°C
48%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C oder höher
1%
16°C 48%
18°C 18%
17°C 18%
15°C 17%
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
17%
16°C
48%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models point to a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Paris on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and southwesterly flow advecting milder Atlantic air. Overnight radiative cooling remains limited under these conditions, keeping lows above the long-term average of 13.5°C. Trader emphasis on 16°C reflects alignment across short-range guidance, with 17–18°C options capturing minor model spread on timing of any clearer intervals. The market’s distribution mirrors typical late-summer variability, where small shifts in cloud thickness or wind direction can adjust the overnight low by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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