Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's overnight low on August 29 will likely reach 10–11°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds of 20–30 km/h. These conditions support efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 13–14°C, consistent with late-winter climatology where average minima hover around 9–11°C. Model consensus shows limited variability from steering patterns or cloud cover, keeping probabilities concentrated on 10°C and 11°C. Updated runs overnight have reinforced this range, with any further drop below 10°C requiring stronger high-pressure subsidence or lighter winds than currently projected.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 29. August?
10°C 47%
9°C 4%
8°C 2%
7°C <1%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
47%
11°C
50%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 47%
9°C 4%
8°C 2%
7°C <1%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
47%
11°C
50%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's overnight low on August 29 will likely reach 10–11°C under clear to mostly clear skies and moderate northwesterly winds of 20–30 km/h. These conditions support efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 13–14°C, consistent with late-winter climatology where average minima hover around 9–11°C. Model consensus shows limited variability from steering patterns or cloud cover, keeping probabilities concentrated on 10°C and 11°C. Updated runs overnight have reinforced this range, with any further drop below 10°C requiring stronger high-pressure subsidence or lighter winds than currently projected.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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