Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on September 1, 2026, converge on a daily minimum near 5°C, establishing the dominant market-implied probability through clear overnight conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits further cooling. Numerical weather models indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies will bottom out around this threshold, consistent with early-spring climatology where typical September lows range from 4–8°C. Official observations from stations such as Wellington International Airport show current temperatures tracking forecast guidance without significant deviation. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger radiative cooling under prolonged clear skies remains the primary risk for a slightly lower reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 1. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 1. September?
5°C 99.6%
3°C <1%
7°C <1%
4°C <1%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
100%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
5°C 99.6%
3°C <1%
7°C <1%
4°C <1%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
2°C or below
$397 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$723 Vol.
1%
4°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$454 Vol.
100%
6°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,343 Vol.
1%
8°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$219 Vol.
<1%
12°C or higher
$172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on September 1, 2026, converge on a daily minimum near 5°C, establishing the dominant market-implied probability through clear overnight conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits further cooling. Numerical weather models indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies will bottom out around this threshold, consistent with early-spring climatology where typical September lows range from 4–8°C. Official observations from stations such as Wellington International Airport show current temperatures tracking forecast guidance without significant deviation. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger radiative cooling under prolonged clear skies remains the primary risk for a slightly lower reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$6,659Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on September 1, 2026, converge on a daily minimum near 5°C, establishing the dominant market-implied probability through clear overnight conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits further cooling. Numerical weather models indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies will bottom out around this threshold, consistent with early-spring climatology where typical September lows range from 4–8°C. Official observations from stations such as Wellington International Airport show current temperatures tracking forecast guidance without significant deviation. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger radiative cooling under prolonged clear skies remains the primary risk for a slightly lower reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,659Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on September 1, 2026, converge on a daily minimum near 5°C, establishing the dominant market-implied probability through clear overnight conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits further cooling. Numerical weather models indicate radiative cooling under mostly clear skies will bottom out around this threshold, consistent with early-spring climatology where typical September lows range from 4–8°C. Official observations from stations such as Wellington International Airport show current temperatures tracking forecast guidance without significant deviation. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while stronger radiative cooling under prolonged clear skies remains the primary risk for a slightly lower reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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