Current forecast consensus from models and MetService guidance points to an overnight low in Wellington of 9–10°C, driven by persistent mild northerly winds of 20–25 knots that limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup keeps surface temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 7°C, with dew points near 9°C further moderating the minimum. Recent model runs show no imminent southerly change or clear-sky radiative event that would push readings to 8°C or below, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 9–10°C. Final hourly observations through dawn will determine the exact recorded low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 15. September?
8°C <1%
5°C oder niedriger <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
5°C oder niedriger
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
44%
10°C
55%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C oder höher
<1%
8°C <1%
5°C oder niedriger <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
5°C oder niedriger
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
44%
10°C
55%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models and MetService guidance points to an overnight low in Wellington of 9–10°C, driven by persistent mild northerly winds of 20–25 knots that limit radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup keeps surface temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 7°C, with dew points near 9°C further moderating the minimum. Recent model runs show no imminent southerly change or clear-sky radiative event that would push readings to 8°C or below, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 9–10°C. Final hourly observations through dawn will determine the exact recorded low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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