Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate overnight lows for Wellington on September 16 around 8–12°C under northwesterly winds of 20–40 km/h and increasing cloud cover, with possible showers by evening. Strong winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while variable springtime cloud patterns and any frontal passages create the main uncertainty in the precise minimum. This supports the market's tight clustering around 11–12°C outcomes, with tail probabilities for 7°C or below reflecting potential clearer intervals and 17°C or higher tied to warmer advection if winds shift. New ECMWF and GFS runs, plus official MetService updates, will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 16. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wellington am 16. September?
7°C oder darunter 51%
17°C oder höher 51%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
7°C oder darunter
51%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
22%
11°C
31%
12°C
30%
13°C
23%
14°C
39%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C oder höher
51%
7°C oder darunter 51%
17°C oder höher 51%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
7°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
51%
8°C
$32 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
31%
12°C
$0 Vol.
30%
13°C
$125 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
1%
17°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate overnight lows for Wellington on September 16 around 8–12°C under northwesterly winds of 20–40 km/h and increasing cloud cover, with possible showers by evening. Strong winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while variable springtime cloud patterns and any frontal passages create the main uncertainty in the precise minimum. This supports the market's tight clustering around 11–12°C outcomes, with tail probabilities for 7°C or below reflecting potential clearer intervals and 17°C or higher tied to warmer advection if winds shift. New ECMWF and GFS runs, plus official MetService updates, will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$157Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate overnight lows for Wellington on September 16 around 8–12°C under northwesterly winds of 20–40 km/h and increasing cloud cover, with possible showers by evening. Strong winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while variable springtime cloud patterns and any frontal passages create the main uncertainty in the precise minimum. This supports the market's tight clustering around 11–12°C outcomes, with tail probabilities for 7°C or below reflecting potential clearer intervals and 17°C or higher tied to warmer advection if winds shift. New ECMWF and GFS runs, plus official MetService updates, will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$157Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate overnight lows for Wellington on September 16 around 8–12°C under northwesterly winds of 20–40 km/h and increasing cloud cover, with possible showers by evening. Strong winds promote mixing that limits radiative cooling, while variable springtime cloud patterns and any frontal passages create the main uncertainty in the precise minimum. This supports the market's tight clustering around 11–12°C outcomes, with tail probabilities for 7°C or below reflecting potential clearer intervals and 17°C or higher tied to warmer advection if winds shift. New ECMWF and GFS runs, plus official MetService updates, will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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