Forecast models show notable spread for Wuhan's minimum temperature on August 29, keeping market-implied odds closely matched near 45% for 24°C and 26°C while assigning meaningful probability to warmer outcomes. Persistent high pressure has maintained hot, humid conditions through late August, but an approaching trough and peripheral typhoon influence are expected to increase cloud cover and scattered precipitation, moderating overnight lows. Official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources projects minima around 25–27°C amid northeasterly winds, yet ensemble disagreement on rainfall timing and intensity creates the observed uncertainty. Traders are monitoring updated runs from global models ahead of the event for clearer signals on cooling onset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 29. August?
32°C or higher 89%
26°C 46%
24°C 45%
25°C 45%
22°C or below
43%
23°C
10%
24°C
45%
25°C
45%
26°C
46%
27°C
26%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
89%
32°C or higher 89%
26°C 46%
24°C 45%
25°C 45%
22°C or below
43%
23°C
10%
24°C
45%
25°C
45%
26°C
46%
27°C
26%
28°C
43%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models show notable spread for Wuhan's minimum temperature on August 29, keeping market-implied odds closely matched near 45% for 24°C and 26°C while assigning meaningful probability to warmer outcomes. Persistent high pressure has maintained hot, humid conditions through late August, but an approaching trough and peripheral typhoon influence are expected to increase cloud cover and scattered precipitation, moderating overnight lows. Official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources projects minima around 25–27°C amid northeasterly winds, yet ensemble disagreement on rainfall timing and intensity creates the observed uncertainty. Traders are monitoring updated runs from global models ahead of the event for clearer signals on cooling onset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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